FRIDAY UPDATE: Long Range getting interesting?

on Friday, February 26, 2010

We'll see light snow continue through the weekend as a huge storm system sits off to our east. That storm is responsible for dropping up to 3 ft of snow in parts of NY, NJ, and many other states. It's bad news for many cities which have seen up to 6 ft of snow in the past month, breaking tons of records.

Back towards our area the light snow will continue. Most spots have seen anywhere from 1-3" today, with another inch or so likely through the overnight and into tomorrow. For that reason, a Winter Weather Advisory has been posted for most of the GRR viewing area. The snow from today, along with light snow throughout the night and winds kicking up, will likely cause a rough commute for the morning. Off and on snow showers are a good possibility through Sunday.

LONG RANGE: As we get past the weekend, the long range actually is rather quiet, which contradicts the title; however, the kicker is towards the end of the long-range, around the end of the first week in March. The GFS has been showing a rather large system developing for several days now. It seems like it's quite a ways out, however people are forgetting the 1st is on Monday, so in reality we would start to forecast this storm around mid to late next week. For now it's too early to tell, but it looks like a heavy snow event for Michigan is not out of the question. My first guess on this would be a storm that surges warm air into it, bringing heavy rain which would melt most of the snow. Followed by the round of rain would be a change over to snow which would cause most of the rain to freeze, then accumulate snow on top of all of that. We saw a similar storm like this a few years ago.

Overall, it's early, but we'll continue to watch it and it's worth mentioning at this point. If we see any huge changes like the storm completely disappearing out of the forecast, it will be noted.

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