It's Been a While; Large storm to affect Midwest/East Coast this week

Hi everyone! To start off, it's been a while since I posted. When I made this blog, I told myself I would update every day, even when the weather was boring. However, my free time got shortened, and, well, the weather HAS been extremely boring, at least in the Great Lakes area.

First, to recap the past few weeks.

Overall, quiet. No large snowfalls besides a few dustings or 1-2" events. A huge system passed to our south and east just recently, and hammered the east coast, breaking some records and definitely getting close to breaking records in many locations. A lot of places saw over 2 feet of snow!

Just forward to the present, and, we've got a decent sized system finally heading our way. The streams have adjusted a little which is causing this system to actually make it a bit north. Thankfully, we will get a good amount of snow out of this before the system phases and ships the energy to the east coast, where they will likely get walloped again (not as hard as this system though)

Ratios are expected to reach and exceed 20:1 in many locations across the Plains and Great Lakes. The exact track of the system is still to be determined, however the trend has taken the low up near northwest Ohio. The NAM seems to be the outlier with this system, however, this will likely change over the next 24-48 hours.

As it stands for Michigan, the heaviest snow will fall along and south of I-96. Points north still will likely see near 6" of snow. Like I said in the last paragraph though, any adjustments to the track can greatly improve or hinder the snowfall totals. If this moves further south, much of the MID-MI will likely miss out on a large snowfall, however, if it moves further west/north, this snowfall amounts will raise for much of MID-MI. It will all depend on how and where the deformation band forms, and where the dry slot moves in.

We'll call it good for now and watch the models overnight and into tomorrow. Hopefully after 12z tomorrow we will have a good handle on where it's heading. Either way this goes, expect some treacherous travel for this early parts of this upcoming work week. Blizzard like conditions are definitely a possibility with this storm.