I wanted to post something brief before a much larger update later; but to go along and continue with this storm we've been watching, it looks like it will very well take aim on Michigan. After days of looking at the models, tons of flip-flopping, and a lot of experts saying there was no way it would take this path, it seems evident that a swath of 6-10" will fall somewhere in Michigan.
WSWs have already been issued from Colorado all the way to us in Michigan. GRR's watch reaches to Isabella County, but leaves the northern tier of counties out. DTX issued a watch earlier this evening for their entire viewing area. However, with that said, the next few runs of the models will surely paint a picture as to where exactly this storm is heading, as each run gets a better set of "real" data which will improve the accuracy. Many experts are now saying the NW trend will continue.
Another update coming later tonight after the 0z GFS run and the 0z NAM.
Saturday Update: Michigan a bullseye for Winter Storm Sun/Mon
Posted by MidMIWeather on Saturday, February 20, 2010
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