SATURDAY UPDATE: Quiet weekend, interesting next week

We've been watching the models and nothing interesting has really been showing up in them. Looks like quiet weather through the weekend, and the storm for early this week will pass to the south of us, and likely leave us completely dry. The best thing about this system is the ridge that will be moving through; temps will rise into the mid and upper 40s for much of the weekend and most of the week.

Uncertainty comes into the long range outlook. The GFS has been showing numerous storms showing up for next week and the following, but hasn't been very consistant on where they will move. For example, the system setting up for this week was first forecasted to move well to the north through Wisconsin and bring heavy snow on the northwest side, and heavy rain for everyone else; now it looks like it will spin itself out and not be a factor. A second system which looked like it would be strong will likely pass well south of us and just be a smaller system with some light rain.

I would say winter is not over yet even though we're heading into the second week of March. We'll see warm temps for the next 7+ days, however a cold spell can come back for a brief period at any time which means snow could still happen. Much of the upper part of the state is way below normal, while the Metro Detroit area is within just inches of there normal average. And just to throw in a fun fact would just proves heavy snow can still fall in March (and even April!) Detroits heaviest snowfall of all time of nearly 2 ft of snow fell in early April!